Presidential Contender Standings

An exclusive DailyMail.com poll, conducted by J.L. Partners, reveals insights into the 2024 presidential race.

With 16 days remaining until Iowa’s Republican caucuses, Nikki Haley emerges as a frontrunner, outperforming both Joe Biden and her potential GOP rivals.

Haley’s Favorable Position

The survey of 984 likely voters indicates that Nikki Haley would lead against President Biden by five points if the election were immediate.

This contrasts with former President Trump, who would win by three points, and Ron DeSantis, trailing by two points, showcasing challenges in his campaign.

Rising Popularity for Haley

Former South Carolina Governor Nikki Haley’s recent surge in popularity is attributed to notable debate performances and crucial endorsements.

The poll underscores her claim of being better positioned than other candidates to secure the 2024 election, receiving 40 percent support against Biden’s 35 percent.

Strengths and Weaknesses

While Haley excels in attracting Democratic voters, garnering the support of one in ten Democrats, she encounters challenges within the Republican base, obtaining 69 percent compared to DeSantis’ 80 percent and Trump’s 87 percent.

Insights and Predictions

Experts highlight Haley’s strong performance with independents, suggesting potential growth in her support base. However, her appeal to Biden voters might diminish once her positions become more prominent.

DeSantis, perceived as a strong contender on paper due to his conservative appeal, faces struggles in attracting broader voter support.

Campaign Dynamics

The Iowa caucuses, slated for January 15, hold significance as a state that leans more conservative. Despite this, a super PAC is intensifying efforts to leverage Haley’s momentum, aiming to position her as the primary alternative to Trump.

Nominating Race Dynamics

Haley’s unique coalition of voters, different from Trump’s 2020 base, poses an intriguing dynamic. While she loses some Trump supporters, she gains Biden supporters, shaping a different electoral framework.

Voter Sentiments

The poll indicates a lack of enthusiasm for an 81-year-old Biden running for reelection, with 60 percent of voters, including a third of Democrats, expressing skepticism.

Furthermore, nearly half of Democrats believe it’s not too late to replace Biden as the party’s nominee.

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