The highly-anticipated 2023 Africa Cup of Nations (AFCON) final appears to be leaning in favor of Nigeria, according to the calculations of the Opta supercomputer.
In a thorough analysis involving 10,000 pre-match simulations, Nigeria emerged as the likely winner inside the regulation 90 minutes in a significant 44.2% of the scenarios.
This consistent favoritism has established José Peseiro’s team as the frontrunners with a considerable margin, a status they have maintained for a substantial period.
Ivory Coast’s Competitive Odds
Despite the apparent dominance of Nigeria in the simulations, Ivory Coast remains a formidable contender, with the prediction model assigning them a noteworthy 30.2% chance of triumphing over their opponents without requiring extra time.
However, it’s worth noting that in 25.6% of the simulations, an additional 30 minutes was needed. Considering the potential for penalties, Nigeria’s likelihood of success increases even further.
Ivory Coast, with the added advantage of playing on home soil, holds a promising position as they aim to defy the odds.
Shifts in Probability and Unfancied Status
Interestingly, Nigeria wasn’t always perceived as the frontrunner in the competition. Pre-tournament simulations indicated an 8.0% probability of them clinching the title, lagging behind five other teams, including Ivory Coast.
The Elephants boasted a 12.1% probability back then, positioning them as the second favorites behind Senegal (12.8%). The dynamics have shifted over the past few weeks, making Ivory Coast appear less favored by some.
Despite the changing perceptions, Ivory Coast has reached this crucial stage, showcasing their ability to overcome challenges and leaving the question open – what’s stopping them from doing it again on Sunday?
Nigeria vs Ivory Coast Squads: A Glimpse into the Lineups
As the showdown approaches, a glance at the squads reveals the formidable players set to grace the pitch.
Nigeria, led by coach José Peseiro, features a roster including Olorunleke Ojo, William Troost-Ekong, Alex Iwobi, and Victor Osimhen.
Meanwhile, Ivory Coast, under the guidance of coach Emerse Faé, boasts talents such as Franck Kessié, Wilfried Singo, and Nicolas Pépé.
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