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Federal election 2022: Scott Morrison’s Coalition falling behind in key NSW seats

✔︎ Fact Checked by TDPel News Desk
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By Samantha Allen

Scott Morrison’s Coalition is trailing in key NSW marginal seats 11 days out from the election, according to ‘catastrophic’ secret polling.

Leaked internal government polling unveiled by 10 News claims the Coalition behind in several seats held by sitting MPs in the Prime Minister’s home state, which they must hold to have any chance of retaining power in parliament.

The traditional Liberal heartland of Bennelong is in grave danger with rising star Simon Kennedy currently trailing his Labor rival.

Reid MP Dr Fiona Martin is tipped to lose her Sydney seat, while Robertson MP Lucy Wicks is also in serious trouble on the Central Coast.

The Coalition issued a swift response hitting back at the unauthorised poll results revealed by the network.

‘This was not polling commissioned by the Liberal Party (federally or in NSW),’ a campaign spokesman said.

The marginal seat of Reid in the Sydney’s inner-west is regarded as a must-win for the Coalition.

Mr Morrison visited the usually safe Sydney electorate of Bennelong on Tuesday, which is among a host of Coalition seats under threat.

Held by retiring Liberal MP John Alexander, its previous 6.9 per cent margin is now gone with Liberal candidate Simon Kennedy now trailing Labor rival, Ryde councillor Jerome Laxale by 10 per cent.

The seat has only been won once by Labor in 2007 when journalist Maxine McKew ousted Prime Minister John Howard from his own seat.

The Prime Minister has already made several visits to Parramatta with candidate Maria Kovacic during the election campaign in the desperate hope of winning back the western Sydney seat for the first time since 2004.

But the seat is already regarded as unwinnable for the Coalition with parachuted Labor candidate Andrew Charlton expected to take the reigns from retiring MP Julie Owens, despite hailing from the eastern suburbs.

Elsewhere, former NSW minister Andrew Constance’s campaign to enter federal parliament is also on shaky ground, trailing Fiona Phillips in the seat of Gilmore on the state’s south coast.

The latest Newspoll released on Monday showed Labor has extended its lead over the Coalition but Mr Morrison still  remains Australia’s preferred prime minister.

The Australian reported Labor now holds 39 per cent of the vote, compared to the Liberal and Nationals’ 35 per cent – the largest lead Anthony Albanese’s party has held during the current federal election campaign.

The Labor leader however still trails Mr Morrison in the PM vote 44-42, however Mr Albanese has climbed three points in the past week while the Liberals leader has fallen a point.

Labor holds a 54-46 lead over the Coalition in the two-party preferred vote, climbing for the first time since early April.

Skyrocketing cost of living prices have seen Labor tighten its grip on the election, with the opposition earning the confidence ahead of Mr Morrison’s government that has seen interest rates rise for the first time in 11 years.

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About Samantha Allen

Samantha Allen is a seasoned journalist and senior correspondent at TDPel Media, specializing in the intersection of maternal health, clinical wellness, and public policy. With a background in investigative reporting and a passion for data-driven storytelling, Samantha has become a trusted voice for expectant mothers and healthcare advocates worldwide. Her work focuses on translating complex medical research into actionable insights, covering everything from prenatal fitness and neonatal care to the socioeconomic impacts of healthcare legislation. At TDPel Media, Samantha leads the agency's health analytics desk, ensuring that every report is grounded in accuracy, empathy, and scientific integrity. When she isn't in the newsroom, she is an advocate for community-led wellness initiatives and an avid explorer of California’s coastal trails.