Victoria’s political landscape is being thrown into disarray by the growth of the Greens, teal independents, and a new wildcard centrist party.
Premier Daniel Andrews’ Labor government is seeking re-election to a third term in November’s state election.
Even if it wins, the party risks losing typically heartland seats as voters reject the severe Covid lockdown tactics.
The Liberal opposition lead by Matthew Guy, on the other hand, does not appear to be gaining any ground.
They are under threat from possible teal independents, who in the federal election grabbed a swath of once blue-ribbon electorates from the federal Liberals.
The Greens, who had unparalleled party success in the federal election, are also expected to eat into the support of the big parties, but the new Victorians Party is the unknown factor.
According to the Herald Sun, an election analysis predicts the new centrist party might gain ten seats.
According to more conservative projections, the Greens, teal independents, and Victorians Party will capture nine to thirteen seats from the major parties.
Labor sources believe the party could lose up to ten seats, putting the party on the verge of becoming a minority administration.
All 19 vulnerable seats might be in play if just 54,000 voters defect from Labor.
While the Greens appear to be gaining ground in inner-city seats such as Richmond and Albert Park, the Victorians Party, rather than the Liberals, would pose a threat to Labor in historically secure suburban seats.
If the Victorian Party prefers the Liberals, though, they will have a better chance.
Due to the reaction over the state’s handling of Covid, five seats have been highlighted as being at risk of losing to strong local Victorians Party candidates: Broadmeadows, Kororoit, Werribee, Melton, and Point Cook.
Teal independents will target affluent and inner-city seats including Hawthorn, Brighton, Caulfield, Kew, Bulleen, and Sandringham if they run, which they have only done so far against Liberal incumbents.
The Victorians Party was founded in November of last year and markets itself as an alternative to the big parties for individuals who are unsatisfied with them.
Bill Lang, executive director of Small Business Australia, Oscar Yildiz, retired AFL great Paul Dimattina, and businesswoman Ingrid Maynard launched the party.
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