After a wild ride to record highs, Bitcoin is suddenly looking shaky again.
Not long ago, traders were celebrating as BTC surged past $126,000, marking a huge milestone in crypto history. Fast-forward to today, and the mood has flipped — Bitcoin is struggling to stay above the $100K line, and people are starting to ask: Is the bull run already fading?
Well-known crypto voice Brett, who nailed his forecast about Bitcoin topping out in October, is back with a new outlook — and it’s getting attention fast.
Analyst Caution: “A Weekly Close Below the 50W MA Is a Warning”
Brett recently shared that what happens over the next few weekly candles could be critical.
His thinking is simple:
If Bitcoin begins ending the week under the 50-week moving average, the odds increase that the market already hit its peak for this cycle.
He isn’t suddenly bearish — just cautious. Brett still believes in the bigger long-term picture for Bitcoin, but for now, he’s treating price action carefully.
And his historical framework hasn’t changed either. If Bitcoin follows its traditional four-year rhythm, he sees a potential “healthy pullback zone” landing somewhere between $55K and $75K, which would line up with a typical 40–55% retrace after new highs.
Not the end — just a reset.
“Could It Drop Lower?”
Brett acknowledges a deeper drop isn’t impossible. Still, he’s not expecting a prolonged winter like past cycles.
Why? He points to one big trend: diminishing returns. Each cycle tends to be less dramatic than the last, making old-school brutal bear markets less likely.
So for him, the plan is simple — stay bullish for the long haul, but respect the structure in front of us.
Not Everyone Agrees With the Cycle Theory
On the other side of the debate, some respected analysts think the classic four-year pattern is starting to fade.
Michaël van de Poppe, for example, argues that Bitcoin isn’t entering a new bear phase — it’s just cooling off inside a much bigger bull market.
He’s not alone. Industry heavy-hitters like Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan have also suggested that Bitcoin’s cycles are evolving and this run may extend deeper into next year.
Different views, same core belief: crypto isn’t done yet.
Key Level to Watch: $100,000
Meanwhile, another analyst known as Titan of Crypto recently highlighted a critical line in the sand.
According to him, Bitcoin’s ability to stay above ~$101K could determine whether the bullish structure survives.
Lose that level? The next major area he’s watching isn’t a comforting one — around $85K.
He also sketched out the ideal scenario:
Bitcoin reclaiming the $120K range and pushing back inside a rising wedge pattern. But even if that happens, he expects price may grab remaining liquidity below first — possibly as low as $79K — before climbing again.
Where Things Stand Now
Right now, Bitcoin is trading in the low $101K range, down slightly over the last day.
Not a crash — but enough pressure to keep traders glued to the charts and analysts debating what comes next.
One thing is clear: sentiment has shifted, and every move from here will feed the next headline.
Why This Matters
Behind the price action, one constant remains — experienced editors and industry hands are reviewing market commentary to keep information grounded, balanced, and useful.
Crypto can be emotional and fast-moving, but the goal stays the same: share clear insight, backed by reliable data and real market expertise.
What’s Next?
Is this the beginning of a deeper correction, or just a dramatic pause before Bitcoin tests new highs again?
Traders, analysts, and long-term holders are watching one number above all: $100,000.
Hold it — confidence stays.
Lose it — buckle up for a new chapter.