Bill Ackman, a prominent ally of President Trump, has raised alarms about the global economy’s future, warning that the world is heading toward an “economic nuclear winter.”
Ackman, known for his position as the CEO of Pershing Square Capital Management, is deeply concerned about Trump’s aggressive tariff policies, which he believes could trigger a catastrophic economic downturn.
Trump’s Tariff Strategy and Its Immediate Impact
On Saturday, President Trump implemented a 10 percent “baseline” tariff on all U.S. imports, excluding goods from Mexico and Canada.
This move was only the beginning, with even higher tariffs set to be imposed on goods from 57 major trading partners, including the European Union, starting April 9.
The decision has sent shockwaves through global stock markets, causing steep declines in major indices.
By Sunday evening, the term “Black Monday” was trending on social media as markets around the world experienced significant drops.
In early morning trading across Asia, Japan’s Nikkei plummeted by 8 percent, while markets in Australia, South Korea, Taiwan, Singapore, and Hong Kong also faced major losses.
The scale of the decline was unprecedented, and experts warned that the worst may still be ahead.
Ackman’s Response and Warnings of Long-Term Damage
Ackman expressed his deep concern over the direction Trump is taking, arguing that the president’s actions risk damaging the trust businesses have in the U.S. as a trading partner.
According to Ackman, the economic fallout from Trump’s tariffs could be devastating not just for large corporations, but for small and medium-sized businesses as well.
He highlighted that a significant increase in costs due to tariffs could force businesses to cut investments and lay off workers.
Moreover, consumer spending would likely slow down, and global investment would grind to a halt.
Ackman warned that the economic consequences of these policies would extend far beyond the financial sector, negatively impacting millions of Americans, especially low-income families already under financial strain.
The Urgent Need for a Timeout and Strategic Negotiation
Acknowledging that the U.S. is facing unfair global trade dynamics, Ackman suggested that Trump could take a “90-day timeout” to pause the tariff escalation, giving the administration time to negotiate fairer trade deals.
This break could potentially save the economy from further damage and encourage new investments in the U.S. Ackman emphasized that continuing down this path could lead to a “self-induced economic nuclear winter” that would have long-lasting repercussions.
Ackman also criticized Trump’s choice for Secretary of Commerce, accusing the appointee of benefiting financially from the turmoil caused by the tariffs.
The billionaire investor expressed concern that the conflict of interest could exacerbate the economic crisis.
Trump’s Defiant Stance and Predictions of a Possible Recession
Despite Ackman’s warnings and the growing international backlash, Trump has largely dismissed the impact of the tariffs.
In an interview on Sunday, he claimed that world leaders have been eager to negotiate trade deals with the U.S., but he would not make any concessions unless trade deficits are eliminated.
He reiterated his commitment to reducing the U.S. trade deficit, viewing it as a “loss” and insisting that trade surpluses should be the goal.
While Trump has remained defiant, his top economic advisors, including Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, have downplayed concerns about a potential recession.
Bessent appeared on NBC’s “Meet the Press” and stated that there was no immediate reason to expect a downturn.
However, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell has voiced concerns about the long-term effects of Trump’s tariffs, warning that they could lead to higher prices, job losses, and slower economic growth.
Global Protests and Shifting Corporate Strategies
As the economic uncertainty grows, Americans have begun protesting Trump’s tariff policies, while major global companies have started adjusting their strategies.
For example, Nintendo delayed the pre-order launch of its new console, and Stellantis, the manufacturer of Dodge vehicles, announced layoffs.
These corporate decisions underscore the far-reaching impact of Trump’s tariffs, which have created significant uncertainty for businesses worldwide.
In conclusion, the warnings from Bill Ackman highlight the deepening concerns among business leaders about the future of the global economy.
As Trump presses forward with his tariff strategy, the risks of a global recession grow, and the long-term economic stability of the U.S. remains in question.
The coming weeks will likely determine whether cooler heads can prevail and avert a full-blown economic crisis.