Flood Forecasting Centre has announced that the Flood Outlook is changing

The Flood Outlook forecasts flooding in England and Wales over the coming month. It appears twice a month.

We’ve been working with our users for the past 18 months to improve our Flood Outlook service.

As a result, the product has been revamped to be more clear and modern in appearance, with new training materials to accompany it.

This work is a response to the following:

  • Our users’ desire for longer-term forecast information is growing
  • ‘We evolve our services to maximize their value,’ says our Strategic Plan.

 

Development of a product
The changes were made after intensive user and prototype testing. They are as follows:

  • To help people make smarter decisions, we’re changing how we present flood forecasts.
  • redesigned the top page to make it easier to access the most critical information
  • rearranging the layout in such a way that related content is now grouped together
  • presenting the data in a more transparent and current manner
  • introducing a navigation bar to make it easier to travel across the document
  • To give an overview for England and Wales, the Flood Outlook will continue to be based on a national scale evaluation

User research

The changes respond to our user research findings:

  • the current product showing ‘low’ risk much of the time and the non-committal language does not support decision making
  • the monochromatic colour palette and layout makes it difficult to quickly identify the most important information
  • a need for a more intuitive presentation of the forecast based on colour codes
  • a request for more information in the 6 to 10 day timescale, and on spring tides

They also incorporate feedback from our hydrometeorologists:

  • that the requirement for forecasting ‘significant impacts’ results in a tendency to forecast a ‘low risk’ too often
  • a need to be able to communicate known forecast information that may be useful to users
  • decreasing the time steps of the forecast for the last 2 weeks to give a better representation of the accuracy of forecasts at this range
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