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For over five years, Carl has driven his 60-seater coach between Dublin and Belfast, a routine two-hour run along the M1.

He thought he knew his passengers: daily commuters, weekly travelers, and tourists clutching maps and cameras.

But last summer, everything changed.

One morning, as Carl loaded luggage, he noticed a man standing by the bus holding a huge wad of cash.

Dressed in jeans and a dark jacket, the man looked nervous, glancing over his shoulder.

Carl soon realized that the man was paying young men – none of whom spoke English – to board his bus.

They weren’t tourists. They were asylum seekers.

The Invisible Border

The root of the problem lies in the Common Travel Area (CTA), which allows British and Irish citizens to move freely between the two countries.

Foreign nationals, however, are technically not allowed these privileges.

But the lack of physical border enforcement has left law enforcement struggling, with asylum seekers able to cross easily into Northern Ireland and onward into Britain.

Carl explains it simply: “You’re supposed to be British or Irish, but we have no border, and so you can imagine what might happen.”

For many migrants, a comfortable coach ride through Ireland is far safer than a perilous dinghy across the Channel.

Why the Flow Reversed

The movement of migrants back toward the UK is largely driven by two developments.

First, the abandonment of the Rwanda plan by Prime Minister Keir Starmer removed the deterrent that had previously kept asylum seekers in Ireland.

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Second, Ireland’s Justice Department introduced tough new measures, including the “pay-to-stay” policy and longer waiting periods for naturalization, making life in the Republic less appealing.

As a result, many migrants see Britain as the safer, more financially viable option.

TikTok influencers like Updiweli Caatto have even documented the journey, explaining the cheapest and easiest routes to the UK, further encouraging the trend.

The Human Cost

In 2024, Ireland received more than 18,500 asylum claims, setting an all-time record.

Makeshift camps like the Mount Street encampment in Dublin sprouted, with over 1,500 sleeping rough.

Tensions flared: tents were slashed, protests erupted in Cork, and violent incidents occurred in Dublin.

Now, the remaining migrants are a fraction of the original wave, many having boarded buses to Belfast.

Carl estimates “twenty or so” young men per week are making the journey, often fleeing Ireland after encountering stricter rules.

Risks in Northern Ireland

But the story doesn’t end once the bus reaches Belfast.

Northern Ireland faces its own tensions.

Groups like East Belfast Nightwatch First Division have started patrolling the streets, confronting migrants.

The PSNI has urged citizens not to take matters into their own hands, warning of the dangers of vigilante action.

The influx of migrants, combined with local unrest, raises serious questions about border management, integration, and community safety.

What happens when authorities cannot adequately respond? The cycle of movement between Dublin and Belfast could continue, leaving both governments struggling to keep up.

What’s Next?

The situation remains fluid. Irish authorities may tighten enforcement along the border further, but the CTA and free movement make complete control difficult.

Northern Ireland communities are bracing for tensions, and the role of social media in guiding migrants shows no signs of slowing.

The €20 bus may continue to ferry young men north, while policymakers scramble to find lasting solutions.

Summary

Carl, a Dublin coach driver, discovered that his passengers included young asylum seekers being funded by mysterious individuals.

Ireland’s open border with Northern Ireland has allowed many migrants to cross into the UK with ease.

The trend accelerated after the abandonment of the Rwanda plan and stricter Irish laws.

Rising tensions in Belfast, the role of social media, and limited border enforcement highlight the ongoing challenges for both Irish and British authorities in managing migration.